Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.058329 0.066201 0.074260 0.083094 0.092477 0.102117 0.112742
2025-08-31 0.043545 0.054749 0.066819 0.080643 0.095908 0.112131 0.130559
2025-09-07 0.035550 0.048818 0.063725 0.081387 0.101448 0.123270 0.148560
2025-09-14 0.030240 0.044966 0.062131 0.083040 0.107323 0.134208 0.165827
2025-09-21 0.027131 0.043207 0.062528 0.086592 0.115017 0.146906 0.184813
2025-09-28 0.023446 0.040241 0.061093 0.087651 0.119553 0.155797 0.199316
2025-10-05 0.023081 0.041447 0.064689 0.094672 0.131024 0.172606 0.222806
2025-10-12 0.019471 0.037909 0.062034 0.093832 0.132974 0.178249 0.233377
2025-10-19 0.017334 0.036166 0.061497 0.095460 0.137765 0.187111 0.247586
2025-10-26 0.015059 0.033964 0.060172 0.095948 0.141053 0.194117 0.259568
2025-11-02 0.013364 0.032436 0.059616 0.097311 0.145334 0.202238 0.272805
2025-11-09 0.011394 0.030235 0.057972 0.097135 0.147609 0.207890 0.283080
2025-11-16 0.008673 0.026508 0.054085 0.094036 0.146361 0.209530 0.288942
2025-11-23 0.006525 0.023380 0.050832 0.091637 0.145916 0.212112 0.295939
2025-11-30 0.005405 0.021970 0.050017 0.092470 0.149549 0.219639 0.308830
2025-12-07 0.004620 0.021084 0.049925 0.094249 0.154369 0.228604 0.323440
2025-12-14 0.004291 0.021135 0.051285 0.098055 0.161830 0.240840 0.342011
2025-12-21 0.003554 0.020085 0.050797 0.099190 0.165753 0.248666 0.355237
2025-12-28 0.003889 0.021718 0.054736 0.106695 0.178114 0.267036 0.381295
2026-01-04 0.002944 0.019905 0.052881 0.105798 0.179311 0.271444 0.390366
2026-01-11 0.002481 0.019230 0.052873 0.107537 0.183988 0.280193 0.404717
2026-01-18 0.001938 0.018138 0.052068 0.108057 0.187000 0.286828 0.416474
2026-01-25 0.001570 0.017452 0.051918 0.109512 0.191248 0.295011 0.430121